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Research Technical Outlook Sectoral Trends & Patterns – February 2024

Sectoral Trends & Patterns – February 2024

Written by - Fisdom Research

February 2, 2024 4 minutes

📈Sectoral Technical Outlook (1/2)

Index NameTrendPattern/FormationStrategy
RealtyReached above its overbought zoneBearish dark cloud cover candle stick patternTrade within the Range between 750 – 950 levels for the coming month with a bearish bias.
AutoVolatility at all-time high levelsDaily chart prices have formed a horizontal channel formationPrices to trade within the range of 17,500 – 19,900 levels. A dip within the range near 18,000 – 17,500 will provide an opportunity to go long.
IndustrialPrices are sustaining above the upper band of the bullish patternBreakout of a horizontal flag patternPartially long at current levels and will wait for a dip will 11,600 levels, with immediate support near 11,000 levels and the upside capped below 12,900 – 13,400
Capital GoodsPrices are sustaining above the upper band of the bullish patternBreakout of a horizontal flag patternPartially long at current levels and will wait for a dip will 56,000 levels, with immediate support near 53,000 levels and the upside capped below 60,000 – 60,500 levels
TelecomContinuation of bullish momentumRectangle pattern breakoutPartially long at current levels and will wait for a dip will 2,300 levels, with immediate support near 2,200 levels and the upside capped below 2,500 – 2,550 levels.
BankexProfit booking from the higher levelsSupport near 21 WEMA, moving higherGoing long at current stage, target 55,500 – 55,700, support at 52,500 – 51,500

📈Sectoral Technical Outlook (2/2)

Index NameTrendPattern/FormationStrategy
EnergyBullish inverted head & shoulder pattern breakoutHigher high higher bottom formationBuying on dips will be an effective strategy after a bullish breakout as the index is expected to witness a throwback on the broader time trend as the oscillator has reached at its overbought zone.
HealthcareStructural bullish trendHigher high higher low formationPartially long at current levels. On the higher side, the next target for the index stands near the 34,300 – 34,700 levels
MaterialsTriangle pattern breakoutBullish crossover on the weekly time frameGoing long at the current stage is advisable for a higher level at 6,750 – 6,825 levels with immediate support at 6,300 – 6,200 levels.
FMCGRising channel patternPresently approaching the lower band of the channel patternA breakdown below 19,200 will trigger a bearish momentum in the FMCG index. The sustainable move above 20,500 will extend buying to 21,000 levels.
Consumer DurablesSuggesting a profit booking or throwback near the patternTriangle pattern breakoutIndex may drift further more till 49,000 – 48,000 levels where it is expected to take support near its previous breakout levels
Information TechnologyBreakout of rectangle patternHigher high higher low formationIndex is trading in a bullish terrain and buying on present levels can be initiated and on dips near 35,000 with immediate support of 34,300 – 34,000 levels

Realty Index 🏡

Nifty Realty Index has formed a bearish dark cloud cover candle stick pattern

  • After a strong outperformance against the benchmark index, the Nifty Realty Index has formed a bearish dark cloud cover candle stick pattern on the weekly time frame. After creating a bearish candlestick pattern, the index witnessed a negative closing below the low point of the bearish formation, indicating an intermediate top in the Realty Index.
  • The momentum oscillator RSI (14) has reached above its overbought zone, which is above 80 levels, and drifted lower, with a bearish crossover on the cards. The index is still trading above its 21 and 50 EMAs, as the recent run-up was very strong and fast.
  • We expect the Realty Index to trade within the range between 750 and 950 levels for the coming month with a bearish bias.

Auto Index 🚗

NIFTY AUTO Index on the weekly chart is trading in a rising wedge pattern.

  • The NIFTY AUTO Index on the weekly chart is trading in a rising wedge pattern. Recently, prices have reached near the upper band of the pattern and have formed consecutive small candles with long wicks, which indicates volatility at all-time high levels.
  • On the daily chart, prices have formed a horizontal channel formation, and the pattern breakout is expected to be above 18,900 levels. The momentum oscillator RSI (14) is reading in a bullish range shift zone between 60 – 90 levels, indicating a strong bullish momentum in the Index.
  • As the Auto Index prices have reached near the pattern’s upper band, we expect prices to trade within the range of 17,500 – 19,900 levels. A dip near 18,000 – 17,500 will be another opportunity too long in the Auto Index.

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